The American Athletic Conference season predictions shed light to the power at the top of the conference. Welcoming in a few new teams after the exit of a handful of others, the AAC season predictions are poised to pit two new powers together at the top.

AAC Season Predictions

Picking each game team by team, the College Football Network team of analysts have come up with our predicted season finish for the American Athletic Conference this fall. Using groupthink, our painstaking process analyzed each game at the team level.

Find every AAC Season Prediction per team: Charlotte | ECU | FAU | Memphis | Navy | North Texas | Rice | SMU | Temple | Tulane | Tulsa | UAB | USF | UTSA

After those were done, we compiled the results, analyzed the outcomes, and came up with our predicted season finishes for each program and the conference itself.

Here’s how that all aligned in the end:

AAC Season Predictions – Final Standings

Tulane – 11-1; key wins against UTSA, South Alabama; loss vs. Ole Miss

UTSA – 10-2; key wins against Houston, North Texas; losses vs. Tennessee, Tulane

Memphis – 9-3; key wins against SMU, North Texas; losses vs. Boise State, Tulane

SMU – 9-3; key wins against North Texas, Louisiana Tech; losses vs. Oklahoma, Memphis

North Texas – 7-5; key wins against UAB, Cal; losses vs. Louisiana Tech, Memphis

UAB – 6-6; key wins against Temple, FAU; losses vs. Memphis, North Texas

Temple – 6-6; key wins against Rutgers, Tulsa; losses vs. SMU, UAB

Tulsa – 6-6; key wins against Northern Illinois, FAU; losses vs. Temple, Tulane

Rice – 5-7; key wins against USF, Charlotte; losses vs. Tulsa, ECU

ECU – 4-8; key wins against Rice, Navy; losses vs. FAU, Tulsa

Navy – 4-8; key wins against USF, Army; losses vs. Air Force, Temple

Charlotte – 3-9; key wins against FAU, USF; losses vs. Tulsa, ECU

FAU – 3-9; key wins against USF, ECU; losses vs. UAB, Rice

USF – 1-11; win against Florida A&M; losses vs. Navy, UConn

AAC Championship Prediction, 2023

The strength of the American Athletic Conference is heavy at the top. In all likelihood, it comes down to a three-team race for the AAC Championship Game in 2023.

SMU and Memphis are the last teams out in terms of the AAC Championship Game as they split their regular-season game and Memphis losses to Tulane. This gives them identical 1-loss conference records and 9-3 overall records, but lose out to UTSA with the better overall record.

Making matters even more interesting in this no-division AAC for 2023 is the fact that UTSA and Tulane play each other in Week 13 as the regular-season finale. It’s highly likely — and predicted here — that the two programs meet once more in the AAC Championship Game a week later.

Our CFN predictions give Tulane a one-point win in the regular season finale but would ultimately flip to favor the Roadrunners despite the Green Wave’s hosting of a title game, UTSA’s travel is unmatched, and the rematch is predicted to go the other way.

UTSA and QB Frank Harris are given a slight edge against Tulane and QB Michael Pratt. But let us all rejoice in the fact that we could very likely see Harris vs. Pratt in two straight meetings in games that could become instant classics.

The AAC will remember the Alamo once the season is done.

Of note – Tulane’s victory over South Alabama in Week 1 is the only projected loss our predictions have for the Jaguars and the race to be the top-ranked Group of Five team come the season’s end should ultimately come down Tulane, UTSA, or South Alabama.